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ft -> cr -> icm -- pt -> vp/pr.

so full tilt (ft) has this deal now where if you play x amount of points per month it will give you a free subscription to cardrunners.com (cr).

There aren't a whole lot of PLO8 videos out there, but there are some. One is done by this guy named Mike about his approach to Sit N' Gos which promotes an interesting idea of playing very tight passive in the early stages of the tournament because the equity of PF starting hands is close enough and fold equity is low enough in PLO8 vs NLHE that playing too aggressively is more risk than is worth the gain. He then switches to a much more super aggressive style when the tournament reaches "phase 2" and particularly on bubble play and money play.

i still have to wrap my head around it some and form some of my own opinions. That's not really what this entry is about, though. There are two things that he mentioned in his video that i decided to research/invest in. The first is ICM. He talked about bubble play and "abusing ICM principles". I had no idea what ICM was, so i decided to look it up. ICM stands for Independent Chip Model, and it basically helps define something which i instinctively understood but didn't put into practical purpose nor understood its correlation to pot odds. Essentially it defines that decisions that you make in a tournament, particularly at the end, should not be defined by pot-odds but by ICM which is a calculation based on your chip stack in relation to the remaining chip stacks and how that relates to prize distribution. [A good three-part article talks about it here].

The second was the use of a poker tracker (pt). A bunch of the videos at cr have the players using some sort of poker tracker either for use in live play or as a self-analysis tool. It intruiged me enough that i decided to download and try out the 60-day trial of PokerTracker 3 to see what it was all about and get some definitive data about how well i play omaha.

What i discovered is that ever since i started playing PLO8 more often again in the past couple of months (generally on .50/1 shallow full ring), i've generally sucked at it over the long term and have negative EV. That said, based on a couple of other videos that i watched, i know that i don't *actually* suck exactly; i understand the principles well enough, which is partially evidenced by the fact that by contrast i have a positive EV in PLO8 tournaments both multitable and SnGs. So in reality i don't think that my play is horrible, i think it just has a big leak in it that i need to plug, and once i can find that leak and adjust my play properly, i can maximize on the principles of the style that i already know and then be more successful.

looking at the data it seems like my VP (percentage of hands in which i contribute to the pot) and PR (percentage of hands in which i raise) seem to match up pretty well to what they say it should be to be successful, although my PR could be a little higher. I think my lack of success has to do with postflop, being too overaggressive and getting it in bad in situations where the draw that i have isn't strong enough to justify being aggressive (particularly out of position), or trying to take down a pot when folding equity in PLO8 is not nearly as strong as it is in HE. I'm still trying to analyze the data, but it feels right to say that my semi-bluff percentage post-flop is too high, that i should worry less about taking down those pots cheaply and focus more on being able to stack someone when i have the potential to scoop or quarter.

(Granted, if i have a strong enough draw for low and high, then i pot for value. That's a little different.)

i'm not quite sure if that's the answer exactly or not. i know that my play is already adjusting, but i can't articulate it right now or speculate in concrete terms anymore because i'm too tired. another half hour or so of video compiling whilst omaha/badugi'ing in between, then bed.

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March 2017